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Already during one of the panels Joshua Fairfield reminded us of the positive aspect of RMT: trade creates welfare gains ("Every time you stop someone from trading, God kills a kitten", as he politely put it). Richard Bartle obviously Tibia Gold wouldn't have any of that and brought up the negative aspects, centering on the violation of the achievement hierarchy associated with character levels.

As far as I know, whatever negative effects RMT has on other players can be modeled as a negative externality (as Castro nova originally did). The net welfare gain from RMT is then the welfare gain from trading minus the externality. The result is often believed to be negative.

So far the usual story, but an important point that came up in the discussion is that both of these variables are a function of some measure of the prevalence of RMT in the game (the negative externality might also be a function of simply how visible RMT is).

I’m sure EA and Mythic have had to scale back their plans due to the subscription loss after their first couple months and it will be some time yet before the numbers stabilize or enter a growth pattern like WoW.